Ferroviária vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 3
MIR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
XVD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUD
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
1 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
4 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
AUD
0 - 2
BOA
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
AUD
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |