Ferroviária vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
FER
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
FER
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 1
FER
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
FER
4 - 0
RIO
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 3
AUD
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
3 - 2
POR
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
AUD
4 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |