Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Ferroviária vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
29.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SOU
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
FER
35%
31%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ANA
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HER
2 - 2
FER
47%
28%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAH
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 2
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
CAM
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
ATH
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |