Ferroviária vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 0
FER
58%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 1
FER
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
CON
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
NAU
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 4
FER
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
APA
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
APA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
SAO
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FFL
2 - 0
APA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
APA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |