Ferroviária vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
SER
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
FER
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SER
3 - 3
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |