Ferroviária vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
TAB
0 - 2
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
FER
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
TAB
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 2
FER
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 2
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAB
4 - 1
AGU
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
TAB
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
INT
1 - 0
AGU
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 2
FER
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |