Ferroviária U20 vs Vitória U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
6%
14%
80%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
FER
0 - 0
GPM
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
FER
8 - 0
JAC
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
GAM
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
COM
0 - 0
VIT
5%
15%
81%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
RET
1 - 1
VIT
12%
16%
72%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 0
SJP
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
IBR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 4
VIT
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |