Ferro General Pico vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
CIB
24%
27%
50%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 1
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
CSE
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ATE
3 - 1
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 3
HHE
39%
28%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
ATE
1 - 2
SPE
33%
28%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
HHE
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPE
37%
29%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SPE
2 - 0
JUU
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CIB
1 - 0
SPE
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |