Ferro General Pico vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CIP
1 - 0
FER
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HHE
0 - 0
FER
44%
28%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPE
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPE
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
HHE
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
SDM
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |