Ferro General Pico vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CIP
1 - 0
FER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HHE
0 - 0
FER
44%
28%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPE
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPE
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
HHE
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
SDM
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |