Ferro General Pico vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 0
FER
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
CDA
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
ATE
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
4 - 0
ATE
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
HHE
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 1
JUU
26%
29%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 1
SPE
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 1
JUU
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |