Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 4-8
Ferro General Pico vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
DHA
6 - 3
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
DEP
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
DRO
1 - 0
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
ALV
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
DHA
6 - 3
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 0
DHA
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
DHA
0 - 0
SLP
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
DFR
2 - 0
DHA
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DHA
0 - 1
DPR
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |