Ferro General Pico vs Ciudad De Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
59
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
CSE
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ATE
3 - 1
FER
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
HHE
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad De Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 2
ATE
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HHE
0 - 3
CIB
22%
28%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
0 - 3
SMA
69%
20%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
CIB
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CIB
3 - 0
SPE
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |