Ferro Carril Oeste vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
20%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
HUR
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
IRV
0 - 0
FER
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
ATT
37%
32%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 1
FER
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 1
SMA
23%
28%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
VSC
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 2
SPB
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 1
VSC
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 2
ALM
30%
30%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |