Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
AGR
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
INS
3 - 2
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
SAC
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 1
FER
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 0
IRV
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 2
SMA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
MAI
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
SMA
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SMA
2 - 0
ALM
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |