Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
FER
3 - 2
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
FER
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
FER
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
VIL
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
CIB
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MOR
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 0
SMA
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
SMA
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |