Ferro Carril Oeste vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
37.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 0
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
ALM
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
MER
60%
24%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
56%
26%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
QUI
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |