Ferro Carril Oeste vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
CIB
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 2
FER
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
CIP
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
FER
6 - 0
IRV
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
MOR
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 3
GBR
44%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALM
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
GBR
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |