Ferro Carril Oeste vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 1
FER
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
CHI
35%
32%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 3
INS
32%
32%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 0
FER
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
2 - 0
SMA
22%
27%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
GAF
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
2 - 1
COL
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
GAF
61%
23%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 1
CHI
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |