Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
28.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
TEM
1 - 0
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
FLA
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
IRV
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAI
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
MOR
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
MOR
45%
29%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |