Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
26.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 0
FER
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
IRV
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
FER
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 0
MER
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
QUI
27%
31%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 2
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
ALM
41%
31%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |