Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
TFE
0 - 1
FER
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FER
5 - 0
RAF
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
SMA
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 2
FER
40%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DYJ
0 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ATT
1 - 1
DYJ
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DYJ
2 - 1
CAI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
DYJ
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DYJ
3 - 0
IRV
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |