Ferro Carril Oeste vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
34.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CIB
1 - 3
FER
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
FER
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
DAL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FER
4 - 1
CDC
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
DEF
34%
32%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 2
DEF
40%
31%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
ALB
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |