Ferro Carril Oeste vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
HUR
5 - 2
FER
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
FER
1 - 2
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
VEL
3 - 0
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
FER
0 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
COL
2 - 0
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
RIV
2 - 2
IND
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
CHA
2 - 2
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1973 |
RIV
4 - 3
CEN
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 2
RIV
17%
19%
65%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
RIV
1 - 0
HUR
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |