Ferro Carril Oeste vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
CIP
3 - 1
FER
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GBR
3 - 1
FER
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
IND
75%
18%
7%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CSE
1 - 4
FER
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
MOR
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRO
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
BRO
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 3
DEF
44%
30%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |