Ferro Carril Oeste vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
16%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
FER
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
TAL
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 0
FER
46%
29%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
IRV
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 1
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BRO
0 - 0
CCS
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 1
BRO
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 1
DAL
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 3
BRO
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 2
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |