Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
31.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
30%
31%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
FER
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
BUC
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 0
CDN
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ATT
3 - 2
DHA
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 2
GIM
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATT
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 0
IRV
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |