Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
FER
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 1
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RAF
3 - 1
BRO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 1
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 2
RAF
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |