Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
25.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 3
TFE
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
MER
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
56%
26%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
SMA
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
ALM
64%
24%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |