Ferro Carril vs Peñarol de Rivera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 0
CER
4%
11%
86%
|
11 | 74 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FCR
0 - 0
BVS
6%
14%
80%
|
10 | 67 | 57 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HBU
1 - 1
FCR
75%
17%
8%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FCR
5 - 1
LFC
34%
21%
44%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |