Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CFP
0 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MLL
1 - 0
FER
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
FER
0 - 2
AND
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
FER
3 - 2
SLL
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
CON
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
STA
1 - 0
SRF
15%
22%
64%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
STA
0 - 1
IBI
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
FLN
3 - 0
STA
78%
14%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
STA
0 - 4
PBL
6%
15%
79%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LLO
2 - 1
STA
62%
20%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |