Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CDS
3 - 2
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
SRF
33%
26%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BNS
1 - 0
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
PBL
28%
26%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
BNS
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PBL
2 - 2
STA
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
CLL
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FLN
3 - 2
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STA
0 - 3
IBI
35%
22%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |