Ferriolense vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CLL
0 - 0
FER
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
FLN
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 2
FER
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
PBL
17%
23%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
STA
3 - 2
PBL
13%
22%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PXD
1 - 0
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
STA
0 - 0
SRF
17%
24%
59%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
BNS
1 - 2
STA
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MER
0 - 1
STA
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |