Ferriolense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
76.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LLO
2 - 3
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
CLL
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MNC
3 - 1
FER
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
SNF
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 3
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PBL
1 - 0
SRF
88%
8%
3%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
IBI
0 - 0
PBL
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PBL
1 - 1
PRA
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PBL
2 - 0
FLN
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BNS
0 - 3
PBL
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |