Ferriolense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CDS
1 - 1
FER
30%
24%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
SRF
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FER
2 - 3
MNU
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 3
FER
56%
23%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PBL
1 - 1
UDA
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CFP
1 - 0
PBL
30%
26%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PBL
2 - 1
CLL
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
PBL
68%
21%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PBL
2 - 0
CAM
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |