Ferriolense vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
CLL
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
PBL
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
FER
75%
17%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PXD
1 - 0
CAM
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MNU
1 - 1
PXD
23%
26%
52%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PXD
1 - 1
SRF
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UDA
1 - 1
PXD
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PXD
0 - 3
ESP
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |