Ferriolense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
SDF
21%
26%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PCE
2 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FER
2 - 3
MNU
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SRF
1 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MER
20%
24%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MER
0 - 2
MNU
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
UDA
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
MER
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |