Ferriolense vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
UDA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FER
8 - 1
MNC
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 1
FER
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FER
6 - 0
ART
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
BNS
3 - 3
CON
62%
21%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SOL
4 - 3
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
SNF
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PBL
2 - 2
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |