Ferriolense vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
FER
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
CAM
42%
27%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 4
FER
41%
25%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
PXD
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CLL
1 - 0
UDA
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CFP
0 - 0
CLL
39%
27%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
CLL
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 0
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
CLL
53%
25%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |