Ferriolense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PXD
0 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
PCE
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SDF
1 - 0
FER
70%
18%
11%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 2
SLL
39%
25%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MNC
2 - 3
FER
53%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
UDA
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CFP
1 - 1
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
CLL
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
6 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAM
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |