Ferreries U19 vs St. Catalina At. U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
15º
15º
4
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 82 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 57 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 57 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 55 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 52 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 51 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 49 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 45 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 43 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 40 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 28 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreries U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PNT
3 - 3
FER
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
ALA
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ADP
5 - 3
FER
43%
24%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
4 - 0
FER
59%
22%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
St. Catalina At. U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
PEN
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
BUN
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AND
1 - 1
SAN
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |