Ferreira de Aves vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAV
0 - 2
GAF
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 4
SER
9%
15%
75%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RDA
4 - 1
FAV
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 3
ANA
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
LUS
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
ADM
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 2
LUS
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |