Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Feronikeli vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feronikeli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 2
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
SCO
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
LRI
43%
24%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
TRE
1 - 5
FER
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
PRI
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 2
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
25%
22%
53%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAE
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
TNS
15%
21%
64%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |