Fernwald vs Viktoria Griesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
8º
17º
8º
33
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FER
1 - 4
FCH
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
STE
2 - 3
FER
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FER
4 - 6
TUR
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAU
1 - 0
FER
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
HUN
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Griesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 3
VIK
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIK
2 - 0
RWW
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 1
VIK
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 3
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 0
VIK
42%
22%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |