Fernwald vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 2
FER
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FER
4 - 0
FRA
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FER
4 - 0
VEL
47%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
JUG
0 - 3
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
KIC
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VIK
1 - 1
BUC
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
5 - 0
VIK
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAU
3 - 1
VIK
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 3
ESC
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
URB
3 - 0
VIK
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |