Fernwald vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
KKA
4 - 1
FER
57%
23%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FER
2 - 5
WAL
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
FER
40%
25%
36%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FER
0 - 2
BHE
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VIK
3 - 0
KIC
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
URB
1 - 1
VIK
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SWM
0 - 0
VIK
12%
21%
68%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VIK
1 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
1 - 3
VIK
22%
24%
53%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |