Fernwald vs Viktoria Urberach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 0
FER
29%
25%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
BUC
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
URB
0 - 2
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
FER
39%
24%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Urberach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
URB
1 - 3
BRA
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
JUG
2 - 0
URB
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 4
URB
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
URB
0 - 2
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
URB
4 - 1
VEL
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |