Fernwald vs Viktoria Urberach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WEH
1 - 0
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
BAU
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 1
FER
28%
25%
47%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
WAL
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Urberach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
URB
0 - 1
BUC
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 4
URB
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
URB
1 - 2
ESC
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
URB
2 - 1
LOH
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
URB
0 - 0
WAL
58%
21%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |