Fernwald vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 2
FER
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
LEH
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
SFS
2 - 3
FER
44%
23%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
EDE
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 2
VIK
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
KIC
2 - 1
VEL
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 1
LOH
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 2
VEL
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
ROT
63%
18%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FSV
2 - 2
VEL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |