Fernwald vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
EDD
2 - 4
FER
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
WAL
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
DAR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 1
FER
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
URB
0 - 2
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LOH
1 - 1
VEL
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 1
KIC
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
BAU
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WEH
1 - 0
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
EDD
79%
12%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |