Fernwald vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
JUG
0 - 3
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
KIC
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 1
FER
41%
24%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
LOH
52%
22%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 1
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
VEL
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
LOH
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
EIW
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 2
VEL
44%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |